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COVID-19会如何改变美国消费者

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COVID-19会如何改变美国消费者

 

  al n

 r

 te

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 I

 -

  d e

 t

 c

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  tr s

 Re

 FOC U S

  E qu ity

 R e s ear c h

 22

 A p r il

 2020

 U.S.

 T hematic

 Identity

 ( after )

 Crisi s:

  How

 CO VID - 19 Cou ld Change

 the

 U.S.

 Co nsu mer

 W e

 b elie v e

 th e

 C OV I D - 19

 c ri s i s

 i s

 s hap i ng

 a

 n e w

 ty pe

 of

 U . S.

 c on s um er .

 Som e

 of

 th e s e b e h avi or s

 are

 alre ad y

 e v i den t

 w h ile

 n e w er

 on e s

 c ou l d

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 i n

 th e

 aft er m at h .

 B u t,

 at th e

 v ery

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  a

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 i n

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 pos t- C OV I D - 19

  c on s um er ’s

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  an d pr e f ere n c e s

 w ou l d

 i mpa c t

 a

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 s p e c tr um

 of

 s e c tor s ,

 f r om

 C o n s um er

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 to C on s um er

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 M e di a,

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 Au tos

 an d

 B u s i n e ss Se r v i c e s .

 W it h

  t h is

  in

  mind,

  13

  Bar c la y s

  Sen ior

  Equit y

  A n a l y s t s

  h av e

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 define

 t h e

 p os t - C OVI D - 19

 c on s um er ,

 a n d

 i m p or t a n t ly ,

 h ow

 t h i s

 c on s u mer c ould

 im p a c t

 t h eir

 r esp ec t ive

 indus t ries .

 W e

  would

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  U. S

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 a

 gr ea t er

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 s h op

 online

 mor e, a n d

 be

 mor e c os t - c on s c ious .

 W e

 h ave

 g on e

 on e

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 fu r th er

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 th i n k

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 h ow

 th e

 e n tirety

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 th e pandem i c

 c ou l d

 c hang e

 th e

 U . S.

 c on s um er

 ac r os s

 15

 li f e s tyle

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 s oc ietal

 as p e c ts

 -- f r om

 w h ere

 w e

 li v e

 an d

 w h at

 w e

 do

 at

 h om e

 to

 h ow

 we

 ap p r oac h

 pub li c

 h eal th .

 W h ile an e c dota l ,

 w e

 b elie v e

 th i s

 exer c i s e

 h el ps

 to

 re v eal

 j u st

 h ow

 p er v asi v e

 s om e

 of

 th e

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 c an

 b e

 an d

 poin t

 ou t

 s om e

 of

 th e

 le ss

 ob v i ou s

 poten tial

 c hang e s .

 W e

  believe

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  d is c u ss ed

  in

  t h is

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 c h a n ges

 t o

 s om e

  d egr ee .

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  av oidan c e

  c an

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 i n

 e v ery th i ng

 f r om

 h ou s i ng

 to

  travel .

 M os t

 c om pan ie s

 w ou l d

 n ee d

  to addr e ss

 a

 f oc u s

 on

 h y g ie n e

 an d

 s an itati on .

 A cc elerate d

 on li n e

 s h opp i ng

 c u ts

 ac r os s c on s um er

 s ta p le s

 an d

 di s c reti on ary

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 c ou l d

 e v e n

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 th e

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 b i g

 ti c ke t

 ite m s

 s u c h

 as

 c ar s .

 Th at

 s ai d,

 w e

 w ou l d

 h i gh li gh t

 Sta pl e s ,

 Re s ta u r an ts , Spe c ialty

 Retail ,

 App arel ,

 &

 E - C om m er c e ,

 C able ,

 M e di a

 &

 T ele c om ,

 an d

 I n ter n e t ,

 as

 th e i ndu s trie s

 pe r hap s

 mos t

 likely

 t o

 b e

 s i gn i f i c an tly

 altere d

 ove r

 t h e

 l on g

 ter m .

 T o

 be

 s ur e, t h er e

 is

 likely

 p en t

 up

 d es ir e

 t o

 r et urn

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 life

 a s

 it

 wa s

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 C OVI D - 19 , t h us

 ma ny

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 t h e

 r ec en t

 c h a n ges

 in

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 behavior

 c ould

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 Fu r th er ,

 c om m er c ial

 avail ab ility

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 c ou l d

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 a s e n s e

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 i n

 th e

 U . S.

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 Howe v er ,

 h i nds i gh t

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 s oc ietal

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 lasti ng ,

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 a

 v ac c i n e

 m ay

 not

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 for

 at

 lea st

 anoth er

 year

 at

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 b e h avi or s

 c ou l d

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 mor e

 i ng rai n e d . La s tly ,

  a

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  re c e ss i on

  c ou l d

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 Al l

 s ai d,

 w e

 re c og n i ze

 th at

 th e

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 w e

 pos i t

 are

 h i gh

 le v el ,

 not

 e xh au s ti v e ,

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 th e s tor y

 of

 th e

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 c ri s i s

 i s

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 th at

 i n

 m i n d ,

 w e

 v ie w

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 exer c i s e

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 s tarti ng

 poin t

 for

 an

 on going

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 an y

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 Bar c lay s

 C a p i t al

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 r es e ar c h ,

 p lea s e

 s ee

 p a ge

 36

  C ON TEN TS

 CONTR IB U TING

 A U T H OR S

  ................................................. 2

 E X E CU TIVE

 S U MM A RY

  ..................................................... 4

 HIND SIG HT

 IN

 2020 :

 WHY

 WE

 BE LIEV E

 TH E

 CO NS U MER

 WILL CHA NG E

  ...................................................................... 6

 S U MM A RY

 G RID :

 HO W

 CO NS U MER

 BE HA V IO R

 COU L D

 CH A NG E

  .... 7

 TH E

 CONS U MER

 PRIOR

 T O

 COVID - 19

  ................................... 9

 Lif e s tyle

 As pe c ts

  ........................................................................................ 9

 Soc ietal

 A s pe c ts

  ....................................................................................... 10

 TH E

 CONS U MER

 DU RI NG

 COV ID - 19

  ................................... 12

 Lif e st yle

 As pe c ts

  ....................................................................................... 12

 Soc ietal

 A s pe c ts

  ....................................................................................... 14

 TH E

 CONS U MER

 A FT E R

 COVID - 19

  ..................................... 15

 Lif e st yle

 As pe c ts

  ....................................................................................... 15

 Soc ietal

 A s pe c ts

  ....................................................................................... 19

 POTENTIA L

 S E CTO R

 I MP LIC...

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