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冠状病毒危,机中年轻工作者:冠状病毒初步调查结果

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冠状病毒危,机中年轻工作者:冠状病毒初步调查结果

 

  Y oun g

 w or k e r s

 i n

 t h e

 co r ona v i r u s

 cr i s i s

 F i n din g s

 fro m

 t h e

 R e s o lu t io n

 F o u n d a t io n ’ s

 co r o n a v ir u s

 s u rv e y

  1 9 M a y

 2020

 M a j a

 Gu sta f sso n

  T he

 c o rona virus

 c ris is

 i s

 exp ect ed

 to

 hit

 w o rk e rs

 hard ,

 wit h

 evide nc e

 f ro m

 p revio us c ris e s

 indica ting

 that

 t he

 y o ung

 are

 lik e ly

 t o

 b e

 a ff ect ed

 to

 a

 g r ea te r

 d eg r ee

 th a n

 mo s t. I n

 t his

 s po t lig ht

 w e

 mo ve

 f ro m

 s p ecula t io n

 t o

 evide nc e ,

 p re s e nt ing

 ne w

 f inding s

 on ho w

 dif f ere nt

 a g e

 gro up s

 – a nd

 in

 p art ic ula r

 t he

 y o ung

 – ha ve

 b een

 a ff ect ed .

  Y o ung e r

 a nd

 o lde r

 w o r k e rs

 ha ve

 e x p e rie nc e d

 t he

 b runt

 o f

 t he

 hit

 t o

 j ob s

 a nd

 p a y ,

 wit h t he

 ve ry

 y o ung e s t

 in

 t h e

 mo s t

 c ha lle ng ing

 po sit io n.

 O ne - third

 o f

 1 8 - 24 - ye a r - ol d em p l o y ees

 ( e x c luding

 s t udent s )

 ha ve

 lo s t

 j ob s

 o r

 b ee n

 f urlo ughe d,

 c omp are d

 t o

 on e - in - s ix

 p rim e - a g e

 a dult s ,

 w i th

 th ese

 e xp er i en ces

 a l s o

 mo r e

 co mmon

 a mon g

 em p l o y ees

 in a t y p ic a l

 j ob s .

 S im ilarly ,

 35

 p er

 cent

 o f

 non - full - ti m e

 s tuden t

 1 8 - 24 - y ea r - o ld

 e mp lo y ee s are

 ea rning

 less

 tha n

 t he y

 did

 p rio r

 t o

 t he

 o ut b rea k ,

 a nd

 3 0

 p e r

 ce nt

 o f

 t ho s e

 in

 t he ir ea r l y

 60 s ,

 co mp a r ed

 to

 2 3

 p er

 cent

 o f

 2 5 - 49 - ye a r - o lds .

  T he

 C o rona virus

 J ob

 Re t e nt io n

 Sc he m e

 h a s

 b ee n

 w e ll - r eceiv ed ,

 es p eci a ll y

 b y

 th e y o ung e s t

 w o rk e rs :

 a ro und

 t w o - t hirds

 of

 18 - 24 - ye a r - o lds

 w ho

 ha ve

 b ee n

 f urlo ughed

 are h a pp y

 a bou t

 th a t

 ou tc om e.

 And

 a ro und

 s ev en - in - ten

 25 - 39 - y ea r - ol d s

 in

 w o rk

 are c urre nt ly

 w o rk ing

 f ro m

 hom e

 a t

 le a s t

 s om e

 o f

 t he

 tim e .

 T his

 is

 a ls o

 th e

 a g e

 a t

 w hic h w o rk e rs

 are

 mo s t

 lik e ly

 t o

 e x p ec t

 t o

 w o rk

 f ro m

 hom e

 mo re

 in

 t he

 f u ture

 tha n

 t he y

 did b ef o r e

 t he

 c o rona virus

 o ut b rea k .

 T his

 s po t lig ht

 l ook s

 a t

 t he

 la bo ur

 m a rk e t

 e ff ec t s

 o f

 t he

 c o rona virus

 c ris is ,

 z oom i n g

 in

 on

 t he i mp ac t s

 ac ro ss

 dif f ere nt

 a g e

 gro up s .

 Evide nc e

 f ro m

 p revio u s

 c ris e s

 indica t e s

 that

 do w nt urns t e nd

 t o

 ha ve

 p art ic ula r ly

 detrim e nt a l

 e ff ec t s

 on

 y o ung e r

 w o rk e rs .

 H ere

 w e

 t urn

 f ro m s p ecula t io n

 t o

 evide nc e

 on

 t he

 j ob s

 hit

 t o

 dif f ere nt

 a g e

 gro up s

 in

 t his

 c ris is

 so

 fa r .

 T his

 s po t lig ht

 b uild s

 on

 o ur

 p revio us

 a na ly s is

 o f

 la bou r

 m a r k e t

 ef f ec t s

 a cr o ss

 th e

 ea r n i n g s dis t rib ut io n .

 The

 f inding s

 are

 b a s e d

 on

 a

 s urve y

 de s ig ned

 a nd

 c omm is s io ned

 b y

 t he Re s o lut io n

 F ou nda t io n , 1

  in

 p art ne rs hip

 wit h

 t he

 H ea lt h

 F o unda t io n

 ( a lt ho ug h

 t he

 vie ws

 in t his

 no t e

 are

 no t

 ne ce ss a rily

 t ho s e

 o f

 t he

 H ea t h

 F o unda t io n) .

  You n g

 e m p l oye e s

 a r e

 m os t

 li k e l y

 to

 h a v e

 los t

 w or k

 du e

 to

 f u r l ou g hi ng ,

 j ob s

 l o sse s

 a nd

 hou r s r e du c t i o ns

 W e

 b e gin

 b y

 lo o k ing

 a t

 ho w

 dif f ere nt

 a g e

 gro up s

 ha ve

 f are d

 in

 t e r m s

 o f

 f url o ug hing

 a nd

 w o rk l o ss es .

 W e

 d o

 th i s

 b y

 f o cu s i n g

 on

 th e

 exten t

 t o

 w hic h

 p e op le

 w ho

 w ere

 in

 e mp lo y ee

 j ob s b e f o re

 t he

 c ris is

 hit

 ( e x c luding

 full - ti m e

 s tuden ts )

 ha ve

 e x p e rie nc e d

 j ob

 c ha ng e s

 a ss o c ia t e d wit h

 re duc t io ns

 in

 ea rning s

 a nd/ o r

 t he

 a mou nt

 o f

 w o rk

 b e ing

 done .

 O ur

 p revio u s

 s po t lig ht

 s ho w e d

 that

 ac ro ss

 a ll

 a g e s ,

 1 5

 p e r

 ce nt

 o f

 e mp lo y ee s

 ha d

 b ee n f urlo ughed

 f ro m

 t he ir

 m a in

 j ob

 in

 ea rly

 Ma y ,

 w hile

 a ro und

 3

 p e r

 ce n t

 o f

 e mp lo y ee s

 ha d

 lo s t t he

 m a in

 j ob

 t he y

 h a d

 p rio r

 t o

 t he

 c o rona viru s

 o ut b rea k .

 F ig ure

 1

 s h ow s

 h ow

 th ese

 ou tco m es p la y

 o ut

 ac ro ss

 a g e

 gro up s .

 T he

 p ro po rtio n

 o f

 1 8 - 24 - y ea r - ol d

 em p l o y ees

 and,

 t o

 a

 less e r ext en t,

 2 5 - 34 - y ea r - ol d

 em p l o y ees

 w ho

 ha ve

 b ee n

 f urlo ughed

 f ro m

 t he

 m a in

 j ob

 t he y

 ha d

 p rio r t o

 t he

 c o rona virus

 o ut b rea k

 is

 g rea t e r

 tha n

 t he

 ave ra g e

 ac ro ss

 a ll

 a g e s .

 Eve n

 m or e p ro no unc e d

 ( a nd

 mo r e

 w o rry ing ) ,

 is

 t he

 f ac t

 that

 t h e

 p ro po rtio n

 o f

 18 - 24 - y ea r - o ld

 non - full - tim e

 s t udent s

 w ho

 ha ve

 lo s t

 t he ir

 m a in

 j ob

 s ince

 t he

 c o rona virus

 o ut b rea k

 b e g a n

 ( 9

 p e r

 cen t)

 i s

 th r ee

 ti m es

 a s

 l a r g e

 a s

 th e

 f i g u r e

 a cr o ss

 a ll

 em p l o y ees .

 T a k i n g

 th ese

 ou tco m es to g eth er ,

 w e

 f ind

 that

 i n

 ea rly

 M a y

 on e - third

 o f

 1 8 - 24 - ye a r - o lds

 ( e x c luding

 full - ti m e

 s tuden ts ) ha d

 b ee n

 f urlo ughed

 o r

 lo s t

 t he ir

 m a in

 j ob .

 By

 c on t r a s t ,

 l es s

 th a n

 1 5

 p er

 cent

 of

 35 - 44 - y ea r - o lds

 f el l

 i n to

 th ese

 ca teg o r i es .

 Fig ur e

 1

 One - th i r d

 o f

 1 8 - 24 - ye ar - ol d s

 h a v e

 l os t

 w ork

 d u e

 t o

 furl ou g h i n g

 or

 j ob

 l os s P r op or t i on

 of

 e m p l oyee s

 ( ex clu d ing

 f u ll - t i m e

 s t ud e nt s )

 w h o

 h av e

 e x p e r i e n c e d

 j ob c h an ge s

 s i n c e

 t h e

 c o r o n av i r u s

 o u t b r e a k ,

 b y

 age

 g r o u p :

 U K,

 6 - 11

 Ma y

 2 02 0

  N ot e s :

 Base

 =

 a ll

 U K

 a d u lt s

 a ge d

 1 8 - 6 5

 w ho

 had

 a n

 e m p l o y ee

 jo b

 p r i o r

 t o

 t he

 c o r ona v i r us

 outb r e a k ,

 e x c l ud i ng

 f ul l - ti m e

 s tud e n ts

 ( ap ar t

 fr o m

 t h e

 ‘all ’

 c o l umn ) .

 ‘ F u r lo u g h e d ’

 a n d

 ‘ lo st

 j ob ’

 r e la te

 t o

 e m p lo y ee s’

 m a in

 j ob ;

 ‘ lo st

 h o u rs

 a n d p a y

 d u e

 t o

 c o ro n av i ru s ’

 ca p t u res

 emp l o y e es

 n o t

 i n

 ei t h e r

 o f

 t h es e

 f i rs t

 t w o

 gro u p s

 w h o

 ar e

 w o r k i ng

 f e w e r

 ho ur s

 t ha n t h eir

 u s u a l

 h o u rs

 b ef o re

 t h e

 c o ro n av i ru s

 o u t b rea k ,

 w h i c h

 t h ey

 s t a te

 h as

 h a pp e n ed

 f o r

 c o ro n av i ru s - rela t ed

 reas o n s , a n d

 w h ic h

 c o in cid e

 wit h

 d e cr e ases

 in

 e ar n ing s.

 So u rc e :

 R F

 a n a ly sis

 o f

 Y ouG ov ,

 A d u lt s

 a ge d

 18

 t o

 6 5

 and

 t he

 c or on av ir u s

 ( C O V I D - 19 ) .

  T he

 la rge

 p ro po rtio n

 o f

 1 8 - 24 - y ea r - o lds

 on

 f ur lo ug h

 a nd

 w ho

 ha ve

 lo s t

 t he ir

 m a in

 jo b

 is p art ic ula rly

 w o rry ing

 b eca u s e

 th ese

 p eo p l e

 a r e

 a t

 th e

 b eg i nn i n g

 o f

 ca r eer s .

 A s

 o ut line d

 in det a il

 in

 p revio u s

 Re s o lut io n

 F o unda t io n

 re s ea rc h ,

 y o ung

 p e op le

 w ho

 ha ve

 rece nt ly

 le f t e duc a t io n

 a nd

 ha ve

 r e cen tl y

 en t er ed ,

 o r

 are

 a bo ut

 t o

 en t er ,

 t he

 la bo ur

 m a rk e t

 are

 m or e s us ce p t ib le

 to

 lo ng - t e r m

 e mp lo y m e nt

 a nd

 p a y

 s carring .

 A s

 w e

 s ho w e d

 i n

 ou r

 I nt erge ne ra t io na l

 A udit

 l as t

 y e ar ,

 y o ung

 p e op le

 are

 mo re

 lik e ly

 t h a n o t he r

 a g e

 gro up s

 t o

 w o rk

 in

 a t y p ic a l

 j ob s .

 An d

 w e

 k no w

 f ro m

 rece n t

 a na ly s is

 th a t

 p e op le

 in a t y p ic a l

 w o rk

 are

 co n c en tra ted

 in

 ‘ s hut do w n

 s ec t o rs ’

 direc t ly

 a ff ec t e d

 b y

 loc k do w n m ea s ure s ,

 s uc h

 a s

 ho s p it a lity

 a nd

 non - f ood

 r e t a il .

 F ig ure

 2

 b ring s

 th ese

 i ss u es

 to g eth er ,

 s ho w ing

 that

 m ille nnia ls

 a g e d

 2 0 - 3 9

 a nd

 w o rk ing

 in a t y p ic a l

 j ob s

 p rio r

 t o

 t he

 o ut b rea k

 are

 m or e

 lik e ly

 t o

 ha ve

 b ee n

 f urlo ughed

 o r

 l o s t

 t he ir

 j ob s , bo t h

 c omp are d

 t o

 o lde r

 g e ne ra t io ns

 a nd

 to

 t h e ir

 c ount e rp art s

 in

 t y p i ca l

 j ob s .

 A l mo st

 t wo - in - five

 m ille nnia ls

 in

 a t y p ic a l

 j ob s

 ha ve

 b ee n

 f urlo ughe d,

 lo s t

 t he ir

 j ob

 o r

 ha d

 t he ir

 ho urs re duc e d,

 c omp are d

 t o

 j ust

 o ve r

 on e - in - five

 m i lle nnia ls

 in

 t y p ic a l

 j ob s .

 T he re

 is

 a

 less p ro no unc e d

 dif f ere nc e

 b e t w ee n

 b a b y

 boom e rs

 w ho

 w e nt

 int o

 t his

 c ris is

 in

 a t y p ic a l em p l o y m en t

 a nd

 t he ir

 c ount e rp art s

 w ho

 did

 no t .

 Fig ur e

 2

 Tw o - f if t h s

 o f

 m ille nnials

 in

 at ypi c al

 j o b s

 ha v e

 been

 f u r lou g hed ,

 lo s t

 t hei r j o b s

 o r

 ha d

 t hei r

 ho u r s

 r ed u c ed P r opo r tio n

 o f

 emp lo y ees

 ( ex clu d ing

 f u ll - t i m e

 s t u d e n t s )

 w h o

 h av e

 e x p e r i e n c e d

 j ob

 ch a n g es

 since

 t h e

 co r o n a vir u s

 o u t b r ea k ,

 b y

 g en er a t i o n

 a n d

 j ob

 t y pe :

 U K ,

 6 - 11

 Ma y 2020

 N ot e s :

 Base

 =

 a ll

 U K

 a d u lt s

 a ge d

 1 8 - 6 5

 w ho

 had

 a n

 e m p l o y ee

 jo b

 p r i o r

 t o

 t he

 c o r ona vi r us

 outb r e a k ,

 e x c lu d ing

 f u ll - ti m e

 s tud e n ts .

 ‘F u r l o u g h e d ’

 and

 ‘l o s t

 j ob ’

 r e l at e

 t o

 e m p l o y ee s ’

 m ai n

 j ob ;

 ‘l o s t

 h o u rs

 and

 p ay

 d u e

 t o

 c o r o n av i r u s ’ ca p t u res

 emp l o y ees

 n o t

 i n

 ei t h er

 o f

 t h es e

 f i rs t

 t w o

 gro u p s

 w h o

 ar e

 w o rk i n g

 few e r

 h o u rs

 t h a n

 t h eir

 u s u a l

 h o u rs

 b e f o r e t he

 c o r ona vi r us

 outb r e a k ,

 w hi c h

 t he y

 s t a te

 h as

 h a ppened

 f o r

 c o ro n av i ru s - r e la te d

 r e a so n s,

 a n d

 w h ic h

 c o in cid e

 wit h d ecreases

 i n

 ea rn i n g s .

 A t y p i ca l

 w o rk

 ref e rs

 t o

 t h o s e

 i n

 a ge n c y

 w o rk ,

 o n

 zero - hou rs

 c on t rac t s

 or

 on

 te m p or ar y c on t rac t s .

 O ur

 d e f i nit i ...

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